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Thursday, 30 July 2026
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HomeInsightsUK house prices fell in May amid Middle East uncertainty 

UK house prices fell in May amid Middle East uncertainty 

Further to the continuation of conflict in the Middle East, it has been reported that UK house prices have seen a fall in May.

UK house prices have declined 0.6% in May 2026, being the first monthly fall of the year, according to data from Nationwide Building Society. 

The lender has reasoned the price fall due to uncertainty linked to the conflict in the Middle East, which has affected consumer confidence and housing market activity.

“Given the uncertainty caused by developments in the Middle East and the subsequent rise in energy prices and market interest rates, some loss of momentum was to be expected.”

Robert Gardner, Chief Economist, Nationwide

Annual house price growth decreased to 1.7%, down from 3% in April, with the average home now valued at £278,024. The figures show significant deceleration in a market which previously showed signs of recovery at the start of 2026.

Consumer confidence has slowed down since the start of the conflict, whilst housing market sentiment has also decreased. Data from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors illustrates new buyer enquiries dropped sharply in March and remained in negative territory in April.

“Buyers are not stretching to make offers they don’t believe will be accepted – they are simply choosing alternative properties. In certain price brackets, buyers have the luxury of choice, and vendors need to be mindful of this.”

Amy Reynolds, Head of Sales, Richmond estate agency Antony Roberts

Robert noted that the UK economy entered this period on a stronger grounding than expected, growing 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in the first three months of the year, whilst inflation softened more than expected in April. 

However, he mentions that economic growth could be weaker and inflation higher than previously expected this year, but this varies on the duration of the shock and policy response.

“This is further evidence that the housing market slowed down at precisely the time of year when you would expect momentum to be building. There won’t be a cliff-edge moment, but the impact of higher borrowing costs will erode spending power and squeeze house prices this year.”

Tom Bill, Head of UK Residential Research, Knight Frank

The shift arrives as major forecasters have adjusted their price growth expectations in response to changeable economic conditions.

Iain McKenzie, CEO of The Guild of Property Professionals, noted that rising supply levels, now at their highest level in over a decade, are giving buyers more choice and persuading negotiating power in their favour. 

“Stable house prices will be welcomed by many buyers and sellers looking for greater certainty in the market after a prolonged period of economic volatility. Buyers who need to move are continuing to act decisively, particularly where mortgage rates have stabilised.”

Nathan Emerson, CEO, Propertymark

“Falling monthly house prices suggest needs-based buyers are not willing to pay over-the-odds for a property but are negotiating hard. Lenders continue to cut their mortgage rates, and the steadiness from the Bank of England in holding base rate should lead to a period of calm.”

Mark Harris, Chief Executive of mortgage broker SPF Private Clients

Jeremy Matallah, Co-Founder of rent-to-buy housing provider Keyzy, mentions that affordability remains the single biggest issue facing the housing market, especially in London. 

“Although the capital has seen some of the weakest house price growth in the country, buying a first home still feels frustratingly out of reach unless there’s significant family support.”

Jeremy Matallah, Co-Founder, Keyzy

Despite the monthly decline, several industry figures reinforced the market’s underlying resilience. Jason Tebb, President of OnTheMarket, believes current conditions are the strongest buyers’ market seen in many years. He added that needs-based buyers are continuing to transact, which is encouraged by lenders continuing to lower mortgage rates.

“A monthly dip in house prices shouldn’t be mistaken for a market downturn. Buyers remain active, transaction levels are holding firm and house prices remain higher than they were this time last year.”

Marc von Grundherr, Director, Benham and Reeves

The data implies the UK housing market is entering a phase of adjustment, with price sensitivity increasing and negotiating power edging towards buyers. Whether this represents a short-term blip or the start of a more prolonged slowdown will depend on if economic uncertainties get resolved and whether mortgage rates continue to stabilise.

Deviki Patel
Deviki Patel
Deviki is a Digital Journalist at AI PropTech News, Rental Living News and BTR News. She holds a BA (Hons) in Law and an LLM from the University of Leicester. Having transitioned from a background in property law, she brings a strong foundation in research and analytical thinking, supporting the delivery of well-informed, insight-led content across the Living and PropTech sectors.
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